Reports

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Middle Eastern update – 12/12/23

Brent futures saw a slight dip this morning, with the market opening at $76.61/bbl at 06:00 GMT and dropping to lows of $76.05/bbl at 08:30 GMT, prices then rose steadily to $76.32/bbl levels at 10:00 GMT. Today in the news,

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What does the Alpha say?

With a fresh week, Onyx Alpha brings you a slew of fresh trade ideas. Our team of analysts brings you hedging and speculative trades every week based on technical analyses and data-driven tradecraft methods on Onyx’s Commitment of Traders (COT)

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Wait-and-See Mode: Fed Data Edition

The Brent futures contract has been hovering around the $75.75/bbl handles throughout the day and at $75.73/bbl at 17:00 GMT (time of writing). Today, oil prices saw minor price action amid a wait-and-see market as the Fed is about to

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Powell O Powell, Wherefore art thy Powell?

With Brent futures reaching oversold territory for the second time in a month, we expect to see a resurgence of speculative long players waiting to buy at these cheap levels, yet the market saw limbo this week, as players await

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Dangote Refinery Passes Major Milestone

The Brent futures flat price for the prompt contract has seen a sell off this morning, falling from highs of $76.48/bbl at 07:10 GMT to flirt with the $75/bbl barrier at 11:00 GMT, where it was only 2c above at

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The Bears have come for (W)T(I)

Both Brent and WTI futures saw bearish sentiment flood the contract in the latest CFTC data, with net positioning for both contracts decreasing by nearly 20% week-on-week.

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It’s All About the Freight

Freight rates out of the US Gulf Coast fell 10c on the week, in turn weakness spread like the plague into JKM and most notably TTF contracts. Top news this week comes out of Australia, with Woodside Energy and Santos

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Trade ideas for the week

To trade or not to trade? Ask Onyx Alpha – where we publish speculative and hedging trades every week based on technical analysis and data-driven tradecraft methods on Onyx’s Commitment of Traders (COT) and Flux Financials data.

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“C***s” – OPEC

Prompt Brent futures have seen a rollercoaster of a week, if the rollercoaster in question was a ‘Drop-Tower’, as prices have come off
aggressively, plummeting to below the $75/bbl mark.

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G(OSP)ing Around: An Insight into Dubai Crude

And just like that the OPEC meeting came and went. Jan slipped to a low of -40c/bbl on Nov 30 following the meeting as Dubai bulls half-heartedly sold into the immediate aftermath, letting prices peak below the lower Bollinger Band.

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CFTC Report: Money managers close positions

The week to Nov 07 saw a continuation of long money managers closing positions, marking two consecutive weeks of removing length, closing over 15mbbls, or 6.3% of all long positions in the week with length now at a four -week

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Trader Meeting Notes

Challenging the OPEC-ing Order

In an exciting pre-advent, the market has been opening the little doors of the OPEC-calendar this week in a dizzying spell of anticipation. Gossip of discontentment among its members has dominated speculation after the meeting was pushed back from Nov

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