Reports

Dated Brent Update Report

Due to International Energy week events, the Dated Brent Update report will not be published in the week commencing 24 February 2025.
The next report will be published on 4 March 2025.

EIA Shock Build Weakens Brent to sub $81/bbl

The Brent futures flat price for the April contract has seen a weaker afternoon, as prices fell from $82.23/bbl at 14:20 GMT to lows of $80.56/bbl at 16:45 GMT, before recovering slightly to just shy of the $81/bbl mark at 17:00 GMT.

Apr Brent Futures retraced below $82/bbl due to weak economic data

Brent futures have been coming off over the start of the day, with the Apr contract trading from highs of $82.46/bbl at 08:30 GMT to retrace to $81.73/bbl at 10:00 GMT (time of writing). WTI prices have followed the same trend, trading at highs of $77.74/bbl at 08:30 GMT and at $77.06/bbl at 10:00 GMT.

Geopolitical Risk Equilibrium

The past fortnight saw the soon-to-be-prompt Mar Brent/Dubai contract rise above 80c/bbl on Jan 16, before sinking to 50c/bbl by Jan 24 and then rise again to 60/bbl come Jan 29.

Turbulent Week For Naphtha

This past week saw repeated attacks on Russian oil infrastructure, raising security concerns for a key section of global naphtha supply, in turn lending notable strength to the naphtha market.

Brent stays strong trading around the $82/bbl mark

The Apr Brent futures contract has weakened throughout the day and traded from above the $83/bbl mark to be priced at $82.16/bbl at 17:00 GMT (time of writing). WTI Apr prices have also come off today, initially trading above the $78/bbl mark and currently at $77.02/bbl at 17:00 GMT.

CFT-See Where The Market Is Positioned

Brent flipped to adopting a bearish positioning in the week to Jan 23, with longs exiting alongside a weekly rise in shorts. On the other hand, WTI also witnessed a reversal in net positioning, with money managers now bullish on the American crude benchmark.

Brent Comfortably Above $80/bbl Via Middle East Tensions

The Brent futures flat price for the Apr contract has seen a minor sell off this morning. Initial stability kept prices in the $83/bbl handles, before selling interest saw price action retrace downwards to $82.58/bbl at 09:55 GMT.

Fast and Fuel-ious

This past fortnight saw strong price action in the fuel complex, with the HSFO market weakening in both the European and the Asian benchmarks. The 3.5% barge crack saw substantial selling in the prompt contracts, adding on to strong downwards

Mar Brent futures hit above the $81/bbl mark

The Mar Brent futures contract has yet again strengthened throughout the day, reaching almost two-month highs of $81.51/bbl at 16:50 GMT and later retraced to trade at $81.47/bbl at 17:05 GMT (time of writing). WTI prices also found strong support and traded at $76.60/bbl at 17:00 GMT.

Brent-syphus rolling up

Brent futures finally found the momentum it had been waiting for, pointing to some calm in this poor-demand storm. Prompt Brent futures strengthened from $79.10/bbl on Jan 18 to $80.04/bbl on Jan 24, and hitting the $80/bbl mark two times this week.

ONYX CFTC Forecast

Every Thursday we release our forecasted CFTC positioning, for the week to Jan 23 our proprietary model at ONYX predicts CFTC positions to be…

A Song of Ice and Oil

Over the past two weeks, the narrative of the light sweet crude market has been predominantly shaped by supply-demand mechanics, culminating in a substantial rise in market activity.

Onyx Welcomes Group Chief Financial Officer; Andrew Chen

The Onyx Capital Group C suite expands once more as we warmly welcome Andrew Chen as the Group Chief Financial Officer. Andrew joins with over 25 years’ experience in execution and advisory across private equity, equity & debt capital markets and

Crude prices strengthened above the $79/bbl mark

The Mar Brent futures contract has been strengthening throughout the afternoon, reaching highs of $79.94/bbl at 16:30 GMT and later retraced to trade at $79.84/bbl at 17:05 GMT (time of writing). WTI prices also found support and traded at $74.80/bbl at 17:00 GMT. Geopolitical concerns continued to support the crude complex.