Reports

Dated Brent Update Report

Due to International Energy week events, the Dated Brent Update report will not be published in the week commencing 24 February 2025.
The next report will be published on 4 March 2025.

Brent strengthens to $83/bbl handles

The Apr Brent futures contract breached past the $83/bbl handles at 18:25 GMT on Feb 13 but eased off from this level and was seen hovering around $82.85/bbl as of 10:15 GMT today.

Apr Brent futures holds above the $82/bbl mark

The Apr Brent futures contract continued to be supported overnight with prices holding above the $82/bbl mark and trading at $82.72/bbl at 10:00 GMT (time of writing). Apr WTI saw a similar upward momentum with prices at $77.66/bbl at 10:00 GMT.

Gasoline Still Pumping?

Prices have strengthened in the Brent futures, RBOB futures and the ICE LS gasoil futures for the Apr tenor. From a technical perspective, the Apr Brent and RBOB futures are in neutral territory with the RSI around the 60-handles, signalling upward momentum.

This week’s target price: $78-80/bbl

Oil prices dipped slightly into Monday, back into $81/bbl handles, after seeing a 6% gain last week having fallen 9% a week previous, with heavy price swings very characteristic of the market at the moment.

CFTC: Risk-off Brent and Bearish WTI

Managed by money positions saw a removal in both longs and shorts in the benchmark Brent futures whilst WTI futures recorded a flip to bearish positioning in the week to Feb 06.

Brent In Low $81/bbl-Handles With Gaza Optimism

The Brent futures flat price for the prompt contract has seen a relatively weak morning. Price action initially found stability in the high $81/bbl-handles, reaching highs of $81.98/bbl at 05:30 GMT.

A Data Driven Crystal Ball

ONYX CFTC PREDICTOR – In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report.

Brent futures gained as the rumours fade

The Apr Brent futures contract has seen increased support overnight with prices strengthening above the $79/bbl mark and seen at $79.14/bbl at 10:00 GMT (time of writing). Apr WTI saw a similar upward momentum with prices at $74/bbl at 10:00 GMT.

Brent futures move sideways amid a mixed bag of news

The Apr Brent futures contract has been very volatile over the day and seems to be moving sideways amid a mixed bag of news. The contract was seen trading around the $77.50/bbl handles and dropped to a daily low of $76.63/bbl at 14:50 GMT. At 17:00 GMT (time of writing), prices were trading at $77.38/bbl.

Post-Expiry Clarity 

The resurgence of strength following a blip during expiry has allowed for the Dated market to enter February with strong buying in the face of a risk/reward skew previously thought bearish. 

Future Horizons: A Prudent Perspective

After last weeks bearish run saw a crash from geopolitical risk derived highs, Onyx research suggests cautious room for growth in Brent as tensions in the Middle East escalate.

Crude Wars – The Return Of The Bulls

Managed by money positions in Brent futures reverted to the buy-side in the week to Jan 30 as length increased and shorts were reduced. Similar to this, WTI continued to see a bullish positioning.

A Cold-play

With a forecasted cold snap in Europe a bullish run is expected in the prompt TTF contract.

Brent futures have been volatile today before dipping below $79/bbl

The Apr Brent futures contract has been very volatile over the day with prices constantly between the $81/bbl and the $81.50/bbl marks. At 17:00 GMT, it was trading at $81.30/bbl. At 18:00 GMT (time of writing), prices have dipped below the $80/bbl mark to be priced at $78.96/bbl.

Brent Back Above $81/bbl

The Brent futures flat price for the Apr contract has seen a minor rally this morning. Initially price action was seen weakening to $80.19/bbl at 08:40 GMT, however this spurred some buying interest, taking the contract to above the $81/bbl mark, reaching $81.19/bbl at 09:20 GMT.