Reports

Industry-leading market insights. Get daily, weekly and monthly reports from Onyx Research, featuring expert analysis and interactive graphs. ​
Onyx Insights UK Bank Holidays Schedule

Reports will not be published on Friday 18 April or Monday 21 April due to Bank Holidays in the UK.

The only exception is the Overnight & Singapore Window report, which will be published as usual on Monday 21 April.

Brent Forecast: 19th August 2024

Although Brent crude futures saw a solid start last week, price action closed below $80/bbl on Friday. Middle East geopolitical concerns have eased alongside poor Chinese demand sentiment, amid weaker-than-expected economic data. The Oct’24 contract is trading at $79/bbl as

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CFTC Weekly: Away With the Bear-ies

Risk assets saw more calm in the week ending 13 Aug, with crude oil specifically enjoying the newfound sentiment. However, this shift away from the previous three weeks’ bearishness was more a product of de-risking than one of bullish positioning.

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Daily Trade Idea: 19/08/2024

Long Sep 3.5 barges cracks With less volumes of HSFO coming into Northwest Europe from the US, the recent tightness has seen prices rise. We are following the trend with this trade. 

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European Window cover

European Window: Brent Strengthens to $79.70/bbl

The October Brent futures flat price has seen a strong afternoon, trading from a low of $78.64/bbl at 12:30 up to $80.06/bbl at 14:50 before retracing and settling around $79.73/bbl at the time of writing (17:20 BST). In headlines, data

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LNG Market Report: Ukraine’s Uno Reverse

The expansion of LNG exports is responsible for scores of premature deaths and nearly $1bn in annual health costs, according to a new report from the green groups Greenpeace and Sierra Club. The report links air pollution from LNG exports

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Daily Trade Ideas: 16/08/2024

We have two trade ideas today: Long Sep/Oct 3.5 Barges We have observed 3 consecutive days of strong physical windows and barged being better bid, trading from $6.75/mt up to $10/mt. We believe that barges will finish the week strong,

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Trader Meeting Notes

Trader Meeting Notes: For Whom the Vi-tolls

The North Sea continues to be a hub for outrageously bullish moves from trade houses (they’ve got to pay that fine somehow). For whom (or maybe why) the Vi-tolls is the question, maybe the Dated Brent is seeing fewer themes

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CFTC Weekly cover

CFTC Predictor: The Empire Strikes Back

In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s

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Daily Trade Idea: 15/08/2024

Short Oct/Nov 0.5 sing We have been seeing some selling in the front of the sing LSFO. The low appetite from China is reflected in July’s crude throughput, which has fallen to a 21-month low. The RSI indicate overbought with

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European Window cover

European Window: Brent below $81 with Crude Build

The Oct’24 Brent futures flat price fell this afternoon, from $81.14/bbl at 14.15 BST to $80.20/bbl at 17.30 BST (time of writing), as there were quite volatile movements this afternoon, especially post-EIA stats. The EIA inventory report revealed US crude

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