Reports

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CFTC Weekly cover

CFTC Predictor: Bulls Back To Work?

In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s

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European Window: Brent Supported Around $71/bbl

May’25 Brent futures has been supported this afternoon, rising from $70.55/bbl at 1200 GMT up to $71.20/bbl just before 1700 GMT, tapering to $71.00/bl at 1735 GMT (time of writing). EIA stats released this afternoon recorded a 1.75mb build in

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Dated Brent report cover

Dated Brent Report – Physical Maintenance

The Dated Brent physical has seen a strong performance, with the physical differential stable and rangebound around the 80c/bbl region. Prompt CFD rolls have rallied, with the 24-28 March 1-week roll rising to $0.35/bbl. This comes despite being in the

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European Window: Brent weakens below $71/bbl

The front-month Brent futures contract witnessed a weaker afternoon, with prices softening from over $72/bbl at 12:25 GMT to $70.35/bbl at 17:00 GMT. Subsequently, the contract saw a wave of support and rallied to around $71/bbl at 17:20 GMT but

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Gasoline report

Gasoline Report: The bears take a breather

The front-month RBOB futures contract saw a fortnight of two halves. We first saw prices weaken from $2.23/gal on 3 Mar to an intraday low of $2.07/gal on 11 Mar. However, the following week saw prices rise to $2.20/gal at

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Onyx Alpha report cover

Onyx Alpha: Ready Trader One

Another week brings another selection of new trade ideas from Onyx Research, this time looking at trades in light ends and crude oil swaps. Our weekly Onyx Alpha report presents speculative and hedging trades based on technical analysis and data-driven

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European Window: Brent Trades Down To $71.20/bbl

May’25 Brent futures has seen weakness this afternoon, trading from just under $71.60/bbl at 1150 GMT down to $70.70/bbl at 1500 GMT, before recovering to $71.20/bbl at 1755 GMT (time of writing). In the news today, a Saudi official has

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Brent Forecast: 17th March 2025

Brent’s Balancing Act  Since the front-month Brent futures hit a three-year low of almost $68.50/bbl on 05 Mar, the M1 contract has steadily ticked up to $71.30/bbl by the time of writing on 17 Mar. The market had largely been

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CFTC Weekly: Another Risk-Off Week

In the week ending 11 Mar, combined open interest (OI) across both Brent and WTI futures increased marginally by 21.5mb (+0.5% w/w). Speculative players removed length across the crude benchmarks for a fourth consecutive week, reducing their long positions by

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European Window: Brent Trades Sideways At $70.50/bbl

May’25 Brent futures ultimately moved sideways this afternoon, trading down from $70.55/bbl at 1245 GMT to $69.95/bbl at 1435 GMT, before making a recovery to $70.50/bbl at 1740 GMT (time of writing). In the news today, President Putin has said

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Fuel Oil report cover

Fuel Oil Report – Very Low VLSFO

In High Sulfur Fuel Oil (HSFO), it was a bearish beginning to the month for Sing 380 cst cracks, with the Apr’25 crack declining from an intraday high of -$2/bbl on 27 Feb to -$5/bbl on 4 Mar. Price action

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