Reports

CFTC Weekly: Bulls Banished to WTI Futures

In the week ending 09 July, managed-by-money participants took a risk-on approach to the benchmark Brent and WTI crude oil futures, adding a combined 13.5mb (+2.47%) to their long positions and a 1.6mb (+1.35%) to their short positions

Daily Trade Idea: 22/07/2024

Short Sep Sing 0.5% Crack With more low sulphur fuel oil cargoes arriving from the West to add to existing stockpiles, we expect LSFO to come under pressure. There has been sluggish demand in the world’s largest bunkering hub of

LNG Market Report: Car-no-goes

A US court ordered federal regulators to reassess the impact of greenhouse gas emissions from Commonwealth LNG’s Louisiana project, potentially delaying full approvals.

Brent Review: 19th July 2024

Lucky Number 85 Price action in September Brent crude futures was resilient this week, oscillating around the $85/bbl handle. Brent came off to $83.50/bbl on 16 July before ascending above $85/bbl on 17 July, settling around that level in the

Daily Trade Idea: 19/07/2024

Long Aug/Oct 3.5% Barge Over the last couple of days, we have seen Aug/Oct fall from $19.50 to $13.50. We’re seeing a shift in sentiment this morning at barge cracks, and spreads are being well-bid with little sell side interest

Onyx Unaffected From Global IT Outage

Onyx remains unaffected from the global IT outage and our services continue to function normally without disruptions.  Our IT team has confirmed the stability and security of our infrastructure. We will continue to monitor the situation closely and provide updates

TMNs: Oscill-85

God bless America; firing up WTI spreads like an AR and waking up in the morning on Wednesday and buying the hell out of Brent, flipping pricing like Vance’s opinion on Trump.

European Window: Brent oscillates in and out of $85/bbl

The September Brent futures contract strengthened back to the $85/bbl handle around 14:20 BST before again weakening to $84.40/bbl at 15:45 BST. However, the benchmark crude futures contract found support at this level and climbed to $85.30/bbl as of 17:10 BST (time of writing)…..

Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Weakens to $84.95/bbl

The September Brent Futures has seen a weaker morning, after rising to $85.80/bbl at 08:00 BST, the contract corrected downwards to a low of $84.96/bbl at 10:30 BST, and is trading at $85.06/bbl at the time of writing (11:05 BST). Of particular note in price action were the moves in spreads, with WTI/Brent Futures only discounting -$3.60/bbl, contrasting -$4.00/bbl yesterday morning, as WTI prompt spreads firmed up faster than Brent.

CFTC Predictor: A Quiet Place

In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s proprietary data.

LPG Report: Build Sentiment, not Stocks

The US LST vs Far East propane (LST/FEI) arb weakened to -$220/mt this fortnight after initially rallying to -$200/mt at the start of the month. This weakness came despite LST/FEI buying, highlighting weakness in US LST propane.