Due to International Energy week events, the Dated Brent Update report will not be published in the week commencing 24 February 2025.
The next report will be published on 4 March 2025.
The Dated market entered July on a strong note, with the Bal-July DFL shooting up above $1/bbl. Brent spreads also continue to be elevated, with the Sep/Oct futures spread briefly shooting above $0.90/bbl on 01 July before retracing lower to $0.85/bbl.
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The September Brent futures contract saw a strong morning, trading from around $86.80/bbl at 8:00 BST down to a low of $86.60/bbl at 08:40 BST before rising steadily over the remainder of the morning to reach $87.24/bbl at the time of writing (11:00 BST)…
We start July and the second half of 2024 having seen almost no change in the prompt Brent outright price, but having all been through a battering and bruising, nonetheless.
The September Brent futures flat price has rallied this afternoon, despite seeing a dip from $86/bbl at 14:50 BST to $85.20/bbl by 15:30 BST.
Technical indicators showed major strength across the Brent, gasoil, and RBOB futures benchmarks with their relative strength index (RSI) entering overbought territory. Flat price has continued its uptrend as short covering flows continued, while participants look to position in anticipation of greater summer demand.
We expect Brent to inch up over the week with speculative positioning that is less saturated, following what appears to be a squeeze of the overly short market.
Bullish money managers returned to Brent futures in the week to 18 June on greater optimism for summer oil demand, while shorts continued to cover their positions. Longs increased w-o-w for the first time in seven weeks, by 41.2mb (+20.7%). On the other hand, short positions declined for the second consecutive week, by 32.7mb (-25%).
We have seen Aug 380 crack has been trading between trading between -$6.65/bbl and -$5.85/bbl since 21st June, showing no real directional movement. Aug 380 crack is trading at a technical support level alongside RSI heading towards oversold territory, we
The September Brent futures flat price contract rallied to $85.70/bbl at 09:15 BST, following which it met resistance and softened to $85.25/bbl at 11:10 BST (time of writing)….
The September Brent futures flat price took a hit this afternoon after trading in a narrow range this morning around $85.70/bbl.
The HSFO complex has had a very mixed week, with weakness seen in VISCO but pronounced support seen in Asia.
TARGET PRICE: $83/bbl – $85/bbl PRICE: $85.80/bbl Return of the pre-weekend bulls? On Monday, we forecast short-term bearishness to take the benchmark Brent crude futures to $83-85/bbl by the end of this week. We now see the September futures contract
The September Brent futures contract has been on an upward trend all morning, rallying to $86.10/bbl before meeting resistance here. The soon-to-be-prompt futures are now trading at $85.75/bbl as of 11:25 BST (time of writing)…
Short July 0.5 Sing crack Recently, the crack showed significant strength, trading up to $11.45/bbl due to concerns about potential supply issues following a fire at the Dangote refinery. However, Bloomberg reported that the incident was minor and the refinery
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The September Brent futures contract initially rallied into the afternoon, climbing from $84.70/bbl at 12:20 BST to $85.30/bbl at 16:30 BST. Following this, however, the benchmark crude futures began to sell off and fell to $84.70/bbl at 17:20 BST (time of writing).
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The September Brent Futures contract has seen a mixed morning, trading from $84.30/bbl at 08:00 BST up to a high of $85.26/bbl at 10:25 BST before retracing down slightly to print at $84.86/bbl at the time of writing (11:15 BST).
Short July 92/MOPJ 92 has been struggling to keep up with the recent strength in RBOB and there is still a firm bullish trend in naphtha. We think this will continue into the end of the month so we expect
