Reports

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European Window: Brent Recovers To $72.25/bbl

After weakness this morning, the Dec’24 Brent futures flat price recovered this afternoon. Trading a touch above of $71.00/bbl at 12:35 BST, flat price tested the $71.80/bbl resistance level multiple times before finally breaking through around 15:45 BST and reaching

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Futures Report: Rangebound (and Down?)

The Dec’24 Brent futures weekly high of $74.75/bbl on 24 Sep failed to hold, and it fell to $71.40/bbl on 26 Sep before correcting to around $72.50/bbl on 30 Sep with a possibly weak expiry in sight for the Nov’24

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Brent Forecast: 27th September 2024

We are looking for the front-month December 24 contract to finish the week between $69-74/bbl with the drivers dictating the rangebound regime essentially unchanged: Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East moved a notch higher. Israel has stepped up kinetic action

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European Window: Brent Pushes Up To $72/bbl

The Dec’24 Brent futures contract was initially rangebound between $71.00 and $71.50/bbl before dipping to a low of $70.93/bbl around 14:45 BST and strengthening shortly after up to around the $72.00/bbl level at 17:30 BST (time of writing). In the

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LNG Market Report: Bears in Transit

Government and company officials are in discussions about potential imports of gas from Azerbaijan through Russia and Ukraine to replace a transit deal that expires at the end of the year. Negotiations were continuing as of last week, Bloomberg previously

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Brent Forecast Review: 27th September 2024

Lacking a spark   We expected Nov’24 Brent futures to end the week trading between $70/bbl and $75.00/bbl as we failed to see it breaking out of a rangebound market. Price action this week validated this view, with the contract trading

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Trader Meeting Notes

Trader Meeting Notes: Swimming in Oil

The Fed has initiated the rate easing cycle, lowering its key overnight borrowing rate by 50 bps. To be sure, it was an aggressive start and underscored the Fed’s concerns surrounding employment, in contrast to its sanguine views on inflation.

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CFTC Predictor: Bulls & Bears Set For Departure

In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s

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European Window: Brent Futures Unstable At $73.23/bbl

After a relatively stable morning, price action in the Nov’24 Brent futures contract saw weakness and volatility this afternoon. Initially oscillating between high $73 and $74/bbl handles from 12:00 to 17:00 BST, price action then plummeted at 17:18 BST by

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