Reports

Industry-leading market insights. Get daily, weekly and monthly reports from Onyx Research, featuring expert analysis and interactive graphs. ​
Dubai report

Dubai Market Report – Maximum Pressure

The weakness we have seen in the Brent/Dubai complex in recent months has continued, with the Apr’25 contract steadily declining from around -$0.90/bbl on March 11 to -$1.35/bbl by March 20. This downward trend accelerated sharply on the morning of

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Onyx Alpha report cover

Onyx Alpha: Tactical Trading

Another week brings another selection of new trade ideas from Onyx Research, this time looking at trades in distillates, naphtha, and NGL swaps. Our weekly Onyx Alpha report presents speculative and hedging trades based on technical analysis and data-driven tradecraft

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European Window cover

European Window: Brent Trades At High $72/bbl Handles

May’25 Brent futures initially dipped from $72.60/bbl at 1200 GMT down to $72.15/bbl shortly after 1300 GMT. Flat price then strengthened to this afternoon’s high of $73.15/bbl at 1610 GMT, moderating to $72.85/bbl by 1745 GMT (time of writing). In

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CFTC Weekly: Length Returns to Crude

In the week ending 18 Mar, combined open interest (OI) across both Brent and WTI futures increased more than 3x the previous week. Combined OI rose by 71.8mb (+1.66% w/w). This is the largest increase in OI for Brent +

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Brent Forecast: 24th March 2025

The May’25 Brent crude futures opened on 24 March above $72/bbl, marking its highest level traded since the start of March. Prices were supported last week as the US sanctioned a Chinese teapot refiner for the first time as it

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Naphtha report

Naphtha Report: Crack(ers) Begin To Show

The naphtha market started off the fortnight strong, however, ultimately saw lacklustre performance. The Apr’25 NWE naphtha crack climbed from around -$2.70/bbl on 17 March to a fortnightly high of -$2.45/bbl by 19 March. However, this was short-lived as the

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European Window: Brent Supported Around $73.20/bbl

The May’25 Brent futures contract strengthened from this afternoon’s low of $72.60/bbl at 1340 GMT up to a touch under $73.20/bbl at 1745 GMT (time of writing). Fresh US sanctions on Iran continue to stoke bullish sentiment in crude oil

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Trader Meeting Notes

Trader Meeting Notes: Reigniting Risk

The May’25 Brent futures contract increased from an intraday low of $69.70/bbl on 13 Mar up to a weekly high of $72.00/bbl on 18 Mar. The May’25 contract then sold-off on 19 Mar to $70.00/bbl, which acted as a support

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CFTC Weekly cover

CFTC Predictor: Bulls Back To Work?

In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s

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European Window: Brent Supported Around $71/bbl

May’25 Brent futures has been supported this afternoon, rising from $70.55/bbl at 1200 GMT up to $71.20/bbl just before 1700 GMT, tapering to $71.00/bl at 1735 GMT (time of writing). EIA stats released this afternoon recorded a 1.75mb build in

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