Reports

Industry-leading market insights. Get daily, weekly and monthly reports from Onyx Research, featuring expert analysis and interactive graphs. ​
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European Window: Brent Declines To $78.10/bbl

The Mar’25 Brent futures contract initially saw strength this afternoon, steadily climbing to $79.60/bbl around 1515 GMT, however, prices sold-off shortly after 1610 GMT down to $78.10/bbl at 1640 GMT, retracing to $78.65/bbl at 1735 GMT (time of writing). Crude

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CFTC Predictor: Risk-Off Week In Brent

In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s

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European Window: Brent Weakens To $79.45/bbl

After this morning’s strength, Mar’25 Brent futures declined from just under $79.90/bbl at 1120 GMT down to this afternoon’s low of $78.87/bbl at 1500 GMT, recovering to $79.45/bbl at 1750 GMT (time of writing). Crude oil prices saw bearish sentiment

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Dated Brent Report – Arb You Kidding Me?

The North Sea physical differential strengthened above $0.80/bbl last week but has since petered out, dropping to $0.69/bbl on 20 Jan. 20 Jan also saw five offers for WTI Midland in the window from Eni, Unipec, Shell and two offers

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European Window: Brent Rises Above $79/bbl

The Mar’25 Brent futures flat price clawed higher on Tuesday afternoon, rising from $78.50/bbl at 14:00 GMT to nearly $79.60/bbl by 16:45 GMT before falling to $79.16/bbl by 17:40 GMT (time of writing). In the news, a rare winter storm

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Gasoline report

Gasoline Report: Fr-easing into the New Year

The Mar’25 RBOB futures outright price reached above the upper Bollinger band on 15 Jan to a high of $2.20/gal and has since corrected to $2.14/gal on 21 Jan. The cracks have been fairly robust, and the Mar’25 RBOB futures

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Onyx Alpha: Cracking the Code

Another week brings another selection of new trade ideas from Onyx Research, this time looking at trades in distillates, gasoline, and LPG swaps. Our weekly Onyx Alpha report presents speculative and hedging trades based on technical analysis and data-driven tradecraft

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European Window: Brent Briefly Dips Below $80/bbl

The Mar’25 Brent futures contract started to recover this afternoon, strengthening around 50c since this morning up to $80.93/bbl at 1325 GMT. However, Brent flat price then sold-off at US open (1330 GMT) down to $79.45/bbl around 1400 GMT, retracing

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Brent Forecast: 20th January 2025

Bye Bye Biden The M1 Brent futures contract surged to its highest level since July last week but has since softened to $80.80/bbl at 12:45 GMT (time of writing). We expect the M1 contract to end the week between $78

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Futures Report: Going all in-auguration 

In the week to 20 Jan, the Mar’25 Brent futures saw a narrow trading range, with prices correcting from overbought levels, closing at $80.50/bbl as bullish momentum slowed (RSI dropped from 84 to 66). Open interest declined sharply, likely due

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CFTC Weekly: Golden Bulls

In the week ending 14 January, money managers got longer in Brent but reduced length in WTI futures. Combining both crude futures benchmarks, money managers had a risk-on week as they added 31.7mb (+5%) in longs and 15.0mb (+11.6%) in

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