Reports

Industry-leading market insights. Get daily, weekly and monthly reports from Onyx Research, featuring expert analysis and interactive graphs. ​

Trader Meeting Notes: DeepSeeking Tariffs

Gong Xi Fa Cai! Happy Year of the Snake to everyone in the oil market while they anxiously watch the front-month Brent futures contract tread around the low $77/bbl handle on the eve of expiry. The soon-to-be-prompt Apr ’25 Brent

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CFTC Predictor: The Bears Strike Back

In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s

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LPG Report: US Propane does a 180

The tide finally turned on US LPG as the weather cleared on the Eastern and Southern coasts. The Mar’25 Mont Belvieu TET propane, C3 LST, weakened from 91.55c/gal on the evening of 17 Jan to 84.375c/gal by the afternoon of

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European Window: April Brent softens below $76/bbl

The Apr’25 Brent futures contract climbed to $76.40/bbl at 16:00 GMT, softened to $76.05/bbl at 16:20 GMT before climbing again to $76.40/bbl at 16:40 GMT. The crude futures contract again met resistance at this level and declined to $75.65/bbl at

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Dubai Market Report – How Low Can You (BD) Go

As the Middle Eastern crude market continues to tighten due to supply tightness fears from the prospect of further sanctions pressure on Russia, the front-month Feb’25 Brent/Dubai swaps contract reached an all-time flow of -$2.50/bbl, while the Feb/Mar box fell

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Naphtha Report: Sentiment Swings

The naphtha complex rebalanced amid mass stop-outs and heavy selling into the cracks, which saw huge pressure in both regions. Stronger crude pressured the cracks alongside weaker demand estimates in the East and clear refiner selling in MOPJ flat price

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Onyx Alpha report cover

Onyx Alpha: Bears on the rise

Another week brings another selection of new trade ideas from Onyx Research, this time looking at trades in Brent/Dubai and naphtha swaps. Our weekly Onyx Alpha report presents speculative and hedging trades based on technical analysis and data-driven tradecraft methods

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Brent Forecast: 28th January 2025

March Brent began the week with a strong correction, down around 2% to close at $76.93/bbl on Monday. The move came with a significant weakening of price structure, as the prompt month-time spread shed some 20 cents to $0.80/bbl. Oil

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European Window: Brent Softens to $76.71/bbl

The Mar’25 Brent futures contract experienced a weaker afternoon, trading down from $78.16/bbl at midday to $76.76/bbl, where it trades at the time of writing (17:30 GMT) as concerns surrounding oil supply disruptions from Colombia eased. In headlines, Iraq’s Rumaila

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CFTC Weekly: Still Bullish

In the week ending 21 January, money managers reduced their shorts in both crude futures benchmarks. In contrast, they added length in Brent for the second consecutive week but reduced length in WTI futures. The oil market was tentative approaching

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