Reports

Industry-leading market insights. Get daily, weekly and monthly reports from Onyx Research, featuring expert analysis and interactive graphs. ​

European Window: Brent Weakens Below $75/bbl

The Apr’25 Brent futures flat price came off below the $75/bbl level on Thursday afternoon, trading at $74.42/bbl at 17:30 GMT (time of writing). As the US unveiled fresh sanctions on Iran, the first move under the Trump administration, prices

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Trader Meeting Notes: A Tariff-ic Week

This week reminded the market that we do not know what will happen next. The whipsaw of news seemed to pull the rug from under you as soon as you believed it. So what can we say really happened this

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CFTC Predictor: Sticking to the sidelines?

In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s

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European Window: Brent Weakens to $75/bbl Levels

The Apr’25 Brent futures contract found support at just shy of $76.00/bbl at around 0300 GMT and strengthened through the morning to $76.55/bbl at 10:35 GMT (time of writing). President Trump issued executive orders on 1 Feb, which will take

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Gasoline Report: Tariff Tantrums

The Mar’25 RBOB futures contract weakened towards the end of January, declining to 2.05c/gal on 27 Jan. However, the contract gained support into the new month amid fears of tightening medium sour crude oil supplies in US refineries following a

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Dated Brent Report – Oil Market Yo-Yo

The re-election of President Trump has brought havoc and hysteria to oil market sentiment. Trump’s predictably unpredictable rhetoric and actions have created significant uncertainty and volatility for financial markets, which has reinforced large intraday swings in Brent futures and spreads.

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Onyx Alpha: January Trade Review

Another week brings another selection of new trade ideas from Onyx Research, this time looking at trades in gasoline and NGL swaps. Our weekly Onyx Alpha report presents speculative and hedging trades based on technical analysis and data-driven tradecraft methods

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Oil Monthly Report: Fifty Shades of Orange

Oil prices rallied into President-elect Trump’s inauguration only to retreat thereafter. Brent front-month futures peaked at $82.03/bbl on 15 January, declining to below $75/bbl at the time of writing. When examining the positioning data for risk takers, we witnessed consecutive

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European Window: Brent Softens to $75.75/bbl

The Apr’25 Brent futures contract witnessed a weaker afternoon, softening from $77.20/bbl at 14:10 GMT to $75.15/bbl at 15:25 GMT. The contract found support at this level and climbed to $75.75/bbl at 17:20 GMT (the time of writing).

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Futures Report: Pre-Tariff Tensions

The week to 03 Feb saw markets rebalance ahead of the 01 Feb deadline for President Trump’s introduction of new tariffs on Mexican and Canadian energy and a further 10% on Chinese goods. There was little clarity ahead of the

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CFTC Weekly: Turning the Risk Down

The week ending 28 Jan was characterised by de-risking in the benchmark Brent and WTI futures, more significantly in the latter. Combined open interest in the crude futures declined by 77.89mb (-1.76%) this week.

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