Onyx’s in-house CTA positioning model determines the net positioning of CTAs in a range of futures benchmarks. Over the past fortnight, we saw CTA net positioning become increasingly bearish and flip negative, falling from around 28.7k lots on 28 Jan down to -31k lots on 10 Jan. Brent futures positioning accounted for the majority of this decline, decreasing around 270% over the fortnight down to -15k lots. Meanwhile, WTI saw a similar trajectory, falling from 6.9k lots on 28 Jan down to -13.7k lots as of 10 Feb. Heating oil positioning remained above 0 while the rest of the products dipped below, with ICE gasoil showing the most bearish net positioning at -3.2k lots on 10 Feb. RBOB was the only futures contract where positioning became more bullish this fortnight, rising around 130% up to -2.8k lots, however, still remains the second lowest on the positioning model.
Click below to explore our weekly CFTC COT reports, including a new report detailing historical Onyx COT data for key swap contracts.
