Onyx’s in-house CTA positioning model determines the net positioning of CTAs in a range of futures benchmarks. Overall, CTA net positioning became significantly more bearish heading into March, falling from around flat on 21 Feb down to -81k lots on 03 Mar. WTI and Brent crude futures continue to sit the lowest on the positioning model this week, falling from -19k lots to -21k lots, and from -18k to -25k lots, respectively, between the period 26 Feb to 03 Mar. This week, heating oil positioning flipped bearish for the first time in 2025, declining from around +3k lots on 26 Feb to -3.8k lots on 03 Mar. ICE gasoil also became significantly more bearish this week, falling from -2.6k down to -10.9k from 26 Feb to 03 Mar. Finally, over the same period, CTA positioning in RBOB futures was relatively stable, remaining in a range of -20k to -21k lots throughout most of the week.
Click below to explore our weekly CFTC COT reports, including a new report detailing historical Onyx COT data for key swap contracts.
