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CFTC Weekly: Bears Come Out Of Hibernation

In the week ending 18 Feb, combined open interest (OI) across both Brent and WTI futures climbed for a second consecutive week, increasing just under 22mb (+0.5%) w/w. This was a more modest rise compared to a 67mb (+1.6%) increase in OI for the week ending 11 Feb. This week, the jump in OI was due to a 57.6mb (+2.3%) w/w increase in Brent futures OI, whereas WTI saw a weekly decrease of 35.6mb (-2%). Across the crude benchmarks, money managers removed length in the week to 18 Feb, reducing their long positions by 35.1mb (-6.1%) w/w, while increasing their short positions for a fourth consecutive week by 13.2mb (+8.2%) w/w. This brought the money manager long:short split down from 3.56:1.00 to 3.09:1.00 w/w. The week to 18 Feb also marks the fourth consecutive decline in money manager net positioning, which fell 48.3mb (-11.6%) w/w down to 367mb, the lowest level seen since the week ending 24 Dec. Other reportables were also risk-off for the first time in three weeks, reducing their longs by 3.1mb (-1%). This is likely a reaction to ongoing uncertainty surrounding US tariffs and Russia-Ukraine peace talks, with market players becoming more risk-averse as a result.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.