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Gasoline Report: Tariff Tantrums

Summary

The Mar’25 RBOB futures contract weakened towards the end of January, declining to 2.05c/gal on 27 Jan. However, the contract gained support into the new month amid fears of tightening medium sour crude oil supplies in US refineries following a short-lived tariff on Canadian and Mexican oil imports into the US. At the time of writing, the futures contract sits at 2.10c/gal. Despite dissipating support following the postponement of these tariffs, a weaker crude brought strength to the Apr’25 RBBR futures contract (RBOB vs Brent futures), which climbed from $19.15/bbl on 21 Jan to an intraday high of $22.47/bbl on 3 Feb, before softening to $21.40/bbl at the time of writing.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.