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European Window: April Brent meets resistance at $76.25/bbl

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The Apr’25 Brent futures contract climbed to $77.15/bbl at 14:05 GMT but softened subsequently, briefly weakening below $76/bbl at 16:50 GMT. The flat price contract witnessed more support at this level and was seen trading at $76.25/bbl at 17:15 GMT but softened to $76.10/bbl at 17:35 GMT (time of writing). Libya’s state-run National Oil Corp reported that export activity is operating normally following talks with protestors at the Es Sider and Ras Lanuf ports, easing fears of a supply disruption. In macroeconomic news, US consumer confidence has weakened for a second consecutive month to 104.1 in January (prev: 104.7). The BDI industry association stated that the German economy is in deep crisis, with GDP likely to decline by 0.1% in 2025. By comparison, the BDI forecasts that the Eurozone will grow by 1.1% and the global economy by 3.2%. Finally, at the time of writing, the Apr/May’25 and Apr/Oct’25 Brent futures spreads stand at $0.83/bbl and $3.55/bbl, respectively.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.